The press is currently running stories about a Queensland-based financial planning group whose clients are suffering severe debt stress. It seems this group has been recommending that clients borrow against their homes and invest these funds into the same planning group’s own badged sharemarket products, which was administered by a major financial institution. There is nothing wrong in borrowing for investment. In fact, it can be a very tax-effective method of investing and can accelerate returns.
Reportedly however, this group then used the borrowed funds as collateral to borrow additional funds from a margin lender and added that to the investment. This increases the risk significantly and it would seem from press reports that most investors were unaware of this increased risk.
Strategies such as this will work whilst the market is going up. Once however the music stops, as it always does eventually, then problems will set in. Broadly, this is how it works.
Let’s say you own a home worth $1 million and you borrow $500,000 against it from the bank to invest in the sharemarket. Assuming you can afford the interest on the loan (which is tax deductible) and you allow enough time for the market to work. The market then drops by 45%, (which it has done over the last year). Your investment is now worth $275,000. The bank is not concerned about your loan as you are paying the interest each month and they have your house as security, worth twice the loan value. You - as the investor, whilst not happy at the value of your investment, at least have the time to wait until the market recovery which will inevitably come.
However, let’s say that with the original $500,000 of borrowed funds as security, you obtain another $500,000 from a margin lender. Again let’s assume that you can afford the interest on $1 million. The $1 million you have invested in the sharemarket drops 45%. Your investment now is worth $550,000 and you have $1,000,000 in debt.
Your bank lender is still unconcerned, but it’s a different story with your margin lender. The margin lender generally will only lend you a percentage of the funds invested (usually about 75%), the difference being their security margin (like the deposit on a house). So now your loan is 91% of the value of the investment which makes the margin lender very uncomfortable. So that your margin lender doesn’t lose money, they ask you to either put in more security (cash or other investments), or they will initiate a forced sell-down of your investments to repay the loan. To avoid the forced sale, you are looking at finding almost another $140,000. For those who can’t raise the extra cash, the outlook is grim.
It seems that this is what has happened with a very large number of people in this case, and reportedly many people have had to sell their homes to repay their debts. Some of the luckier ones have sold out of their investment and repaid the margin loan, and now have a debt on their homes that has to be repaid.
This financial group has reportedly devastated thousands of Australian’s lives leaving many with nothing - no savings, no superannuation and no home. It could have all been avoided.
There are a number of lessons here. Firstly, don’t ever think the market will keep going up. Downturns happen regularly. Most are not as severe or long lasting as the 2008 one, but there are no guarantees. Secondly, do not over borrow. You need to have some equity in any investment. If you are over-leveraged, a small downturn can be devastating. It is far better to build wealth slowly than suffer financial devastation from which there is little or no recovery.
Each of us is different in our tolerance to risk. Some will be comfortable taking on additional risk for the possibility of a larger gain, whilst others will not be so inclined. The important thing is to know your risk tolerance level and be sure that your borrowing level matches that. Always consider the downside risk. Negative markets always recover but that is of no comfort if you do not have the financial resources to outlast the down times and reap the benefits of leveraging your investment when the turnaround comes.
Every investment has risk attached. Know what that risk is and if you are not comfortable with it, don’t do it.
POSTED: 18-Dec-2008
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